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Risk matters

Powering the Future: Risk, Resilience and the Energy Transition

Risk Matters: The DWF insurance podcast | Ep10
As the energy transition accelerates, how can the insurance market keep pace? In this episode of Risk Matters, our host Franco D'Andrea, partner in the Global Risks team at DWF is joined by Ahad Khalid, Global Product Leader for Power and Myles Sunley, Global Head of Natural Resources Claims both at Allianz Commercial. Together, they explore the key risks shaping the future of energy and renewables, from catastrophe exposures and remote project locations to decommissioning, energy security and emerging technologies. A timely discussion on how insurers can help power the next generation of energy projects.

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Audio Transcripts

Episode 10 - Part one
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Welcome to Risk Matters, the insurance podcast brought to you by DWF and your

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global guide to the latest trends and issues in the insurance and reinsurance industry.

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Join us as we explore topical issues, emerging technologies and the innovative

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strategies that are shaping the global future of insurance.

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Welcome to Risk Matters, the insurance podcast from DWF. I am Franco D'Andrea,

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a partner in DWF's global risk team.

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As listeners will know, this is our second podcast focusing on energy insurance.

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Last time we recorded an energy insurance podcast in the spring of 2024.

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We felt then that we were living in a turbulent time, but I don't think it's

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controversial to say that 2025 and the opening of 2026, have raised the levels

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of turbulence to a new level.

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But in the words of Francis Bacon, the original Francis Bacon,

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he that will not apply new remedies must expect new evils, for time is the greatest innovator.

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And where better to find new remedies and new innovations than in insurance?

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And with that, I'd like to introduce today's guests for the podcast.

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Ahad Khalid, who is the global product leader for Power Allianz Commercial. Welcome, Ahad.

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Thank you, Franco. Okay. And Miles Sunley, the global head of natural resources

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claims at Allianz Commercial. Welcome, Miles. Thank you, Frank.

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I should say that I found that Francis Bacon quote in my preferred old-fashioned

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way by looking it up in a hard copy Oxford dictionary of quotations,

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which in my view is a small win for humanity.

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But on that subject alone, we've seen significant growth in AI since our last

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episode, which in itself is driving a new and prolonged energy demand.

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Whilst energy was front page news in 2024, that has only increased in the interim period.

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And with that in mind, one thing we noticed in our previous episode was that

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whilst we had lots of people tuning in who were part of the energy insurance

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market, we also had a number of listeners who were part of the wider energy

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market or worked in the wider energy market.

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And so to which we felt we'd kick off this episode with a bit more information

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about what it is and where insurance fits in within that process.

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So with that in mind, I'd like to start off, Ahad, by asking you a little bit

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about Allianz and a bit about your role within Allianz. Sure.

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Well, thank you, Franco.

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For the listeners, Ahad Khaled, I'm the global product leader at Allianz,

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and my role focuses on power and renewables.

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Allianz is a massive conglomerate, financial services conglomerate that has

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various different entities. One of them is Allianz Commercial.

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Myles and I work in that and are part of that.

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And within Allianz Commercial, we have different product towers,

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one of them being Natural Resources that is headed up by my boss, Anthony Vassalo.

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Under Natural Resources, we have four different subproducts,

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one of them being Power and Onshore Renewables.

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I look after that globally as the product leader. Thank you. And Miles?

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Yes, I am the global head of natural resources claims for Allianz Commercial.

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So my role is to oversee the handling of natural resources claims,

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both from a technical perspective and from an outcomes perspective,

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one might say, to make sure we are going about things the best way we can for our clients.

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That involves working with Ahad on the power account. It also involves all sorts

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of insurancy type things like reserving and procedures processes etc,

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but i think in a nutshell i am responsible for our natural resources claims

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offering we're going to come come back to some of those uh points but i had

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i know um you've had some time working in the middle east,

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and i know that's a topic that we wanted to touch on at least from the outset

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which is in particular the middle east and what we what's known as in insurance as the uh,

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catastrophic or cat losses particularly natural cat losses um,

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there's certainly been,

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an indication that over the in recent years there have been increased cat losses

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in the Middle East is that fair and do you think that reflects what we knew

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about the Middle East beforehand,

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That's a really good question. And Middle East is on everyone's mind right now,

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based on what we see and hear in the news and also in the world of renewables.

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I would like to give you a little bit of background about the Middle Eastern

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renewable energy industry.

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Up until 2000, so we go all the way back to 2010.

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In 2010, the amount of installed capacity that was there in the Middle East,

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for renewable energy was one gigawatts.

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Now, for the listeners who are not familiar with this terminology,

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one gigawatt is a thousand megawatts.

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Now, what is a megawatt? One megawatt can power 150 households for one day,

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right? So that if you do the math, you can extrapolate it and see exactly what one gigawatt meant.

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Now, mind you, the Middle East consists of, depending on how you actually define

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Middle East, it consists of more than 15 countries.

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So in 2010, they were at one gigawatt.

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Today, if you look at any statistic, it's very difficult to measure because

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everyone uses different endpoints, but the Middle East is roughly installed

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capacity today. It's operating at 30 gigawatts.

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So exponential increase in the amount of renewables in a part of the world where

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back in 2010, the word renewables just,

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wasn't feasible because the cost of drilling, the cost of producing one barrel

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of oil in the Middle East is the lowest in the world. So why would you then go towards renewables?

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But the leadership in the Middle Eastern countries made a conscious decision

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just based on the global dynamics that energy transition is the way to go.

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And today they are one of the fastest growing renewables markets in the world.

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So their annual, as per statistics online, based on IRENA data,

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IEA data, they are growing at an annual growth rate of 24%.

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In solar, wind, and battery energy storage. These are the three particular areas

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where they are occurring significantly.

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So there are a lot of reasons why that is happening, but one of the main things,

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and Miles alluded to it earlier, is energy transition. They have embraced the

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energy transition wholly.

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So that's the background, the history of where Middle East is.

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Now, we all know that the Middle East geographically, majority of the terrain

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is desert-based. There's a lot of sand there, but then there's some parts of

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the Middle East where there's some mountainous terrain as well.

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And historically, not a lot has existed in those areas from a commercial building standpoint.

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So what's happening now is contractors, manufacturers, builders are going into

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places where things never existed before and are building these sites because

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the governments are allowing them to they're getting subsidies to do that,

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And lo and behold, they are encountering natural catastrophes.

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Our data, as per our Allianz Risk Consulting colleagues, and I'd like to give

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a shout out to some of our colleagues, Michael Brook.

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Rohinton Irani, who have shared this data with us,

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which shows that from 2010 up until 2050, predicted data shows that the baseline

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natural catastrophe activity has not changed and is not going to change significantly.

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So why are we seeing more renewables losses then?

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Well, we're seeing more losses because this is something we call the Texas phenomena.

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And the Texas phenomena essentially is we are now building things in places

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where nothing really existed.

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So now we are capturing that data into our systems and saying,

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oh, this is now a Nat Cat zone.

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This is the primary reason why we see the increase in the number of losses.

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To give you an estimate, in 2024 alone, natural catastrophe losses globally were at $145 billion.

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10% of that was coming from the Middle East.

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So it's very difficult to say that this is a changing environment.

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It is in one way, but the weather pattern, as per our data and the analysis

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it shows, hasn't changed. Does that mean that there was no data points to begin with?

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Not that we were concentrating on. They were there, the,

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meteorological societies of each of these countries in the Middle East,

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particularly focusing on the Gulf had captured that but we were not just whether we call it pure,

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ignorance or the fact that we just did not relate activities to that region,

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we didn't concentrate on that.

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There is one whenever we thought of Middle East we did think of one natural

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catastrophe and that was sandstorms for the obvious reason that we're building

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in the desert but we'd never thought of flood.

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So in 2024 2024, nearing 2025, the biggest natural catastrophe loss in the Middle

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East was because of flood.

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Now, rain in the desert, you know, it doesn't take much to guess that,

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but it does happen. Yeah.

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And so looking ahead then to other locations where there might be a lack of

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data sets, at least in the initial phase, is it,

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hence my earlier question was, if there is an opportunity to,

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let's say we try and replicate the growth that happened in the Middle East in a different location.

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Does having the data sets from the Middle East now and the lessons that have

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been learned from the Middle East do you think that will help say your parametric

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team or other parametric teams be able to work out where that might be going?

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Absolutely and I think that's exactly what our teams are doing they are taking,

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the data that we learn losses are an opportunity to learn,

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from what we shouldn't do going forward that has been the mantra of insurance

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all the way back to 300 years.

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And our teams now, with the help of AI, are using that data to consult with

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clients and saying, okay, this is what we've seen.

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If you build in areas where recent meteorological data and past meteorological

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data has not been analyzed properly, it's there, but it's not.

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And this is where we should alternatively build.

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The challenge with that, Franco, is that governments, and particularly regulators,

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need to provide the incentive to build there.

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And unless that happens, there's an inflection point where we see financiers,

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lenders, and insurance companies are not agreeing because the state is not providing those guarantees. Yes.

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And on that, you mentioned very clearly that the value in understanding from

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a loss scenario, what can then be brought into the underwriting scenarios at a later date.

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Miles, discussing cat losses, we know you're an expert in sometimes in infinitesimally

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small fiber optic cables and the like.

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In some respects you might say well is there any crossover a large claim involving

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something microscopic and a large cat loss from your perspective managing a

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claim like that or what are the differences?

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I'm tempted to say there are none, but there will be some. I think ultimately,

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the cat loss, you are working on a larger pallet.

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It is more obvious what happened. The cause is clear to see often,

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whereas the smaller more, let's say, a subsea loss, a cable, for example.

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The what went on with the cable is a far more complex question and harder to pin down.

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So that is a key difference. But in terms of addressing the claim,

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it still comes down to the same approach that one has of working your way through

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it with the client and the adjusters.

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So in that regard, it doesn't really change anything. I think what we do see,

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to try and develop this out a little further, for example, the NatCat events.

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If you imagine an installation is engineered to be able to withstand a certain

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degree of rain and hail, etc., that isn't necessarily true when it's half built.

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So we often see problems whereby trenches are flooded by a passing rainstorm

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that would otherwise have been subject to the drainage that's been put in, etc.

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So, like I said, the actual cause of it is a lot more obvious.

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The problems can be more widespread because it hits the the technology the project

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on a construction claim at its worst really um hopefully when things are built and installed,

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they should be able to withstand more of that but also um it's easier to replace,

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components than it is to start again yeah that's that's the issue although the

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remote locations do to present further challenges.

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I wanted to come back to the remote location, but while we're here,

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we've discussed already some of the vast quantity of data that there is in relation

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to both on the claims side, but also on the underwriting side as well.

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And I'd just like to ask, Ahead, if I start with you about.

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When you've got the data or you're trying to gather the data,

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is underwriting something new like that?

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Is it a scientific approach? Is it an art form?

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Where does it fit between science and art?

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That's a brilliant question. And I think that's one that's been asked at universities

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throughout my career now, whether underwriting is a science or an art.

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And I think sometimes the safest way to say is neither.

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So um no it is it is definitely a mixture of both um because underwriting for

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the longest time franco uh when we if we go all the way back to edward lloyd's um right,

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um we we see that it all developed uh underwriting or underwriting risks marine

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risk predominantly developed because of a need yeah all right a need that was there at the time,

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and throughout history the insurance market has evolved and seen that every

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time there is a risk that needs to be solved, underwriting evolves.

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It has never remained the same. Science operates on known factors,

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and without quoting Donald Rumsfeld, known unknowns as well.

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But at the same time, art evolves. Art takes into account perspective,

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takes into account time.

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So that's why it is a mixture of both. Underwriters today definitely don't operate,

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in the same way that underwriters did back when I started my career in 2007.

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We were very manual-based underwriters. I mean, you would probably know this, Franco and Miles.

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We were still using FACS back then, right? I'm not quite that old. Yeah.

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So FACS was still available, whereas underwriters today are using LLM models, right?

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They are using AI to determine how do we underwrite and take a risk onto a book.

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So it has changed. It has evolved.

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Very difficult to point in either direction.

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But I would say that the best underwriting decision comes from respect and acknowledgement

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of both the science and art. Yeah.

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And it's a judgment call, I suppose. Amal, I'd love to ask you the same question.

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Dealing with a very large loss, you're leading it.

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Where does that fit between science and art for you?

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Yeah, it's a good question. I think the answer is when claims handling is done properly, it is both.

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I think one, as a claims adjuster, needs to understand exactly what the problem

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is, what technology are we looking at, what has gone wrong,

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and how all that happens so that we can then step back and look at the policy,

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which is also the science element.

215
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One needs to analyse that, of course you would know, analysing the contract.

216
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That's an art form but it's words on a page and how does one fit with the other

217
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is very much the technical side of things but then we have to remember we are dealing with,

218
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clients in a real world with a real business with a real problem and a balance

219
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sheet and profit loss account that it affects,

220
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We have to find our way through it. We put ourselves forward as an organization

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to say, we are here for that moment. Well, that moment is now here.

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How are we delivering? So that is where the art comes in.

223
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There is really, there's a need to understand the threshold required for an

224
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insurance claim versus, for example, the threshold of knowledge of exactly,

225
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what happened in terms of, you

226
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know, obviously, I'm drawn towards the engineering and technology side.

227
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I can get into that yeah for a long time but i i recognize that there is a level

228
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of detail that becomes superfluous and that's that's the perfect balance between

229
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the art and the science i think,

230
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one of the reasons i was really interested in the question was because uh when

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i've got two daughters one wants to be a singer the other wants to be an artist

232
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and i said you could do both in the insurance industry.

233
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Yes yes but miles you mentioned earlier about the about remote locations i'd

234
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really like to explore that a little bit further because we've all seen i think,

235
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there was a particular video going around linkedin a couple of years ago about a um,

236
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a wind turbine blade being taken up a mountain on the back of a,

237
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making some what look like impossible turns going up up a mountain so that is

238
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a phenomenal feat of engineering of skill to get these things into the right location um,

239
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but my question is what happens then and what what what does that mean for both

240
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the under on the underwriting side and on on the claim side when these claims do arise,

241
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miles would could you start start off on that one yeah of course um i think,

242
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it causes tremendous problems when,

243
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a project is being constructed the logistics of how to get all the components

244
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there are well thought out yeah they're thought out long in advance transportation

245
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methods um are thought through roads are constructed,

246
00:18:11,844 --> 00:18:16,239
schedules are drawn up um even the example of the blade on the impossible journey

247
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that requires a particular vehicle with a particular rotatable rear access He's

248
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a driver with a particular skill set.

249
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Precisely. And clearing the roads and obstructions and et cetera.

250
00:18:25,398 --> 00:18:28,869
So all these things are done long in advance. They don't start construction

251
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until that's all figured out.

252
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When there's a loss, none of that applies anymore.

253
00:18:34,818 --> 00:18:37,978
So to a certain extent, it's getting back to square one, as we talked about

254
00:18:37,978 --> 00:18:41,818
earlier. It's easier to do something from the very beginning in this instance

255
00:18:41,818 --> 00:18:47,073
because you can plan it all versus trying to do half a job later to repair is very difficult.

256
00:18:47,642 --> 00:18:54,058
So getting equipment and components to the location for the repair becomes costly

257
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and challenging, and that affects the insurance claim. Labor is another concern.

258
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If you have a large project, you can plan ahead and people can arrive and work and then leave.

259
00:19:03,728 --> 00:19:08,728
But to do a smaller job, partial, even if it's a large repair,

260
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a partial project, that presents challenges in terms of assembling the labor force that you need.

261
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So that becomes a problem. All of these things can be fixed and resolved,

262
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but they all cost money, and that is a problem.

263
00:19:23,424 --> 00:19:28,378
So a further issue i think we need to remember is that i mentioned the construction

264
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road just to pick one example,

265
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if that is affected by an atcat event and is washed away yeah

266
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what do we do then there are a lot of claims particularly for mountainous hydro

267
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claims where the first port of call

268
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is to fix the access roads which can often lead us with leave us with the question

269
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as to whether that falls under the claim or not yeah um which is perhaps you

270
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know it's a wordings issue

271
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but it certainly we all recognize well without that there isn't any repair yeah,

272
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um otherwise we're talking about fleets of helicopters and back to expense again

273
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i'm just to pick an extreme example,

274
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so the locations have a key uh fact an influence rather on the losses,

275
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just in terms of it's it may well be there's a good resource there but it's

276
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an awkward place to get to if you need to change out something or or fix anything and etc.

277
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And i had on the underwriting side then is Is that something that is at the forefront of your mind?

278
00:20:22,147 --> 00:20:28,054
Very much so. I'd like to paraphrase a quote from one of my favorite movies, Top Gun.

279
00:20:29,285 --> 00:20:33,546
We've all seen it. Absolutely. And the quote that I'd like to make is that,

280
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in the insurance, we're in the business of writing risks that are balance sheets, I can't cash.

281
00:20:40,965 --> 00:20:43,687
If you've seen the movie, you know where that paraphrase occurs.

282
00:20:44,841 --> 00:20:48,867
So I think there are two examples that I'd like to quote here,

283
00:20:49,407 --> 00:20:54,657
publicly available examples that people who are listening to or watching this can Google.

284
00:20:55,279 --> 00:21:01,124
One is the Gansu Wind Farm in the Gobi Desert between China and Mongolia.

285
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This is a 20 gigawatt wind farm, onshore wind farm, that is spread across the desert.

286
00:21:08,549 --> 00:21:11,907
There's nothing like this out there in terms of size, scale,

287
00:21:11,907 --> 00:21:15,427
and anybody who has ever watched either one of David Attenborough's,

288
00:21:16,527 --> 00:21:21,647
shows or Top Gear knows that the Gobi Desert is not really a place a very friendly

289
00:21:21,647 --> 00:21:24,048
place that you like to get lost in.

290
00:21:24,489 --> 00:21:30,527
So building something of the size and scale that you wouldn't even see in the

291
00:21:30,527 --> 00:21:35,083
offshore world on land presents its own challenges.

292
00:21:35,652 --> 00:21:37,260
How do you underwrite your way out of it?

293
00:21:38,007 --> 00:21:41,167
So that presents the underwriters with new questions.

294
00:21:42,240 --> 00:21:44,893
Again, quoting another movie.

295
00:21:48,109 --> 00:21:53,316
Where we always talk about contractor experience, right? or contractor training or availability.

296
00:21:54,291 --> 00:21:59,717
But training is good, but nothing beats experience, right? You cannot beat that.

297
00:21:59,717 --> 00:22:04,097
So finding contractors who have experience in building in remote desert locations

298
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with mountains and all sort of terrain, it's not very easy.

299
00:22:09,667 --> 00:22:13,617
So we assess based on those challenges, and then we also look at how do you

300
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get spare parts into these places?

301
00:22:16,158 --> 00:22:20,377
Because the number one challenge we have in renewables, particularly because

302
00:22:20,377 --> 00:22:23,246
they're very catastrophe driven and prone,

303
00:22:24,262 --> 00:22:27,845
Where do you get spares from, right? How do you get blades in?

304
00:22:27,845 --> 00:22:30,845
We just talked about this example about putting a blade up through a mountain.

305
00:22:31,141 --> 00:22:32,975
Now, what if that blade does collapse?

306
00:22:33,701 --> 00:22:36,180
What are you going to do then? Would we have the same availability?

307
00:22:36,383 --> 00:22:40,143
So those sort of questions go into our underwriting process.

308
00:22:40,288 --> 00:22:47,545
And then we decide how we should mitigate that risks because they can open up

309
00:22:47,545 --> 00:22:49,925
Pandora's box if things go wrong.

310
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And we have not anticipated it or have not assessed it properly.

311
00:22:57,581 --> 00:23:03,079
And we've spoke about things going up the mountain, but what when they need to come down.

312
00:23:03,392 --> 00:23:08,685
And I think we're focusing this discussion much more on renewables,

313
00:23:08,685 --> 00:23:14,375
something which we all have experience in, but there is not yet much experience

314
00:23:14,375 --> 00:23:17,852
in disposal or decommissioning per se.

315
00:23:18,439 --> 00:23:23,013
And I'd like to get your collective views on decommissioning in particular,

316
00:23:23,594 --> 00:23:28,243
given that we know there are some studies already about decommissioning of say

317
00:23:28,418 --> 00:23:34,106
wind farms that have not even been constructed yet. So fantastic foresight to look ahead.

318
00:23:35,185 --> 00:23:39,022
I'm just keen to know from an insurance perspective where does that fit?

319
00:23:40,085 --> 00:23:42,946
Usually you'd have the construction stage, the operational stage.

320
00:23:43,741 --> 00:23:45,408
To be thinking about decommissioning already,

321
00:23:46,243 --> 00:23:50,992
Does that require new products or does that require a new way of engagement with your clients?

322
00:23:51,781 --> 00:23:55,878
Well, thank you. That's a very good topic, Franco. And there are already topics

323
00:23:55,878 --> 00:23:59,068
around or products around this that have been alluded to in the market.

324
00:23:59,068 --> 00:24:02,368
One of them is CAR or car in reverse. All right.

325
00:24:02,688 --> 00:24:06,098
That's been talked about a lot in the market right now, which is essentially

326
00:24:06,098 --> 00:24:08,732
decommissioning construction product.

327
00:24:09,015 --> 00:24:11,965
It's not new, but it is new for the renewables world.

328
00:24:13,533 --> 00:24:17,585
When we talk about decommissioning, it is very important for us to differentiate,

329
00:24:18,252 --> 00:24:22,258
between the different renewables because they all have different decommissioning risks.

330
00:24:22,676 --> 00:24:26,208
For example, on wind, when we talk about wind decommissioning,

331
00:24:26,208 --> 00:24:29,734
pretty much all the components in there, particularly the electrical components,

332
00:24:30,036 --> 00:24:32,508
are recyclable, but the blades are not.

333
00:24:33,107 --> 00:24:36,868
And the disposal of blades is where the biggest challenge occurs because we're

334
00:24:36,868 --> 00:24:39,508
talking about blades that are meters long, right?

335
00:24:40,128 --> 00:24:43,792
Some of these renewables, wind farms that you've probably seen,

336
00:24:44,146 --> 00:24:47,263
they are as big as the CN Tower in Canada.

337
00:24:47,687 --> 00:24:50,317
So what do you do with those blades?

338
00:24:50,746 --> 00:24:54,318
A number of countries, particularly Denmark, have come up with some very good

339
00:24:54,318 --> 00:24:57,759
examples of what to do with blades. They've used that to create bus shelters.

340
00:24:58,508 --> 00:25:02,078
The EU is coming up with laws now around what we should be doing with regards

341
00:25:02,078 --> 00:25:05,044
to recycling these blades or making alternative uses out of it.

342
00:25:05,613 --> 00:25:09,258
But then there are other countries in the world where you would just dig a big

343
00:25:09,258 --> 00:25:11,070
hole and you put the blades in there.

344
00:25:11,842 --> 00:25:16,158
It's not environmentally friendly. It definitely does not assist any of the

345
00:25:16,158 --> 00:25:18,813
ESG goals that we're trying to achieve.

346
00:25:19,260 --> 00:25:21,368
And then you go to solar, all right?

347
00:25:21,988 --> 00:25:28,118
Solar is another one where similar things happen, but the recyclability of solar

348
00:25:28,118 --> 00:25:30,586
panels is much higher than wind.

349
00:25:31,422 --> 00:25:37,835
Solar usage, et cetera, is also very, very conducive to a renewable environment.

350
00:25:38,410 --> 00:25:42,711
Batteries, I think, is the one where you can make the most use of recyclable

351
00:25:42,711 --> 00:25:49,271
materials. However, we haven't seen many of those cases sort of taking place

352
00:25:49,271 --> 00:25:52,945
because the world of battery energy storage is not as old as wind or solar.

353
00:25:53,590 --> 00:25:58,286
So there's a different risk parameter for each of these different technologies.

354
00:25:58,774 --> 00:26:03,361
And currently, the only legislation that is out there that I'm aware of,

355
00:26:03,361 --> 00:26:09,925
at least, is the EU that is working on it to try and ensure that we have a.

356
00:26:10,911 --> 00:26:16,571
Very systemic and a healthy environment to try and put these things to use,

357
00:26:16,571 --> 00:26:20,201
better use after their end of life, rather than just digging a big hole in the

358
00:26:20,201 --> 00:26:21,802
ground and then putting it in there.

359
00:26:21,918 --> 00:26:26,451
Because that's often one of the big counter-arguments to renewables that you see.

360
00:26:27,031 --> 00:26:32,071
Is about what happens post first in the constructions phase but what happens

361
00:26:32,071 --> 00:26:34,392
post Miles from your perspective is this,

362
00:26:35,251 --> 00:26:38,873
Does this feed into claims now, or is it a future concern?

363
00:26:40,137 --> 00:26:43,395
Both. I think it'll become a greater concern as time goes by.

364
00:26:43,993 --> 00:26:51,617
But at this stage, certainly how we dispose of damaged components is a concern.

365
00:26:51,997 --> 00:26:53,438
It obviously is a claims cost.

366
00:26:53,949 --> 00:26:57,652
It isn't, to be honest, a huge claims cost, but it's certainly there.

367
00:26:58,657 --> 00:27:01,367
It's sort of what I refer to as a potential nuisance factor,

368
00:27:01,367 --> 00:27:04,667
and I don't wish to belittle it, but the reason I call it that is because it's

369
00:27:04,667 --> 00:27:06,777
one of those questions that often comes up in a claim and you say,

370
00:27:06,777 --> 00:27:09,727
well, this is a fundamental about whether we pay this cost or not.

371
00:27:10,162 --> 00:27:14,957
And it's not by any means the largest head of the claim had a claim in there, but it certainly,

372
00:27:16,277 --> 00:27:20,837
is a, hang on, it's a real drop anchor moment, which is unhelpful because it

373
00:27:20,837 --> 00:27:24,947
then potentially just becomes a stumbling block for the wider conversation on

374
00:27:24,947 --> 00:27:26,010
the more important parts.

375
00:27:26,497 --> 00:27:31,593
So it is one of those issues which is probably has a greater influence than,

376
00:27:32,052 --> 00:27:34,728
one might initially realise.

377
00:27:34,838 --> 00:27:38,791
I say it will become a greater problem later because.

378
00:27:41,177 --> 00:27:44,927
The older a component gets, the less chance there is of any reuse,

379
00:27:44,927 --> 00:27:47,853
etc., and the harder it is to dispose of, generally speaking.

380
00:27:48,561 --> 00:27:53,467
But that may well be counteracted by, as I had mentioned, the legislation now

381
00:27:53,467 --> 00:27:56,641
where disposal has to be included or doesn't have to be.

382
00:27:56,961 --> 00:28:03,257
There is encouragement through legislation to include disposal and recycling in the actual design.

383
00:28:03,257 --> 00:28:08,267
And there are people, companies, Siemens are looking at it, one of their entities,

384
00:28:08,267 --> 00:28:12,247
I might have done them a disservice there, but they are looking at a fully disposable

385
00:28:12,247 --> 00:28:17,301
or recyclable turbine blade by dissolving it in acetic acid, essentially.

386
00:28:18,828 --> 00:28:23,247
But the EU waste directive that I had mentioned is hugely important.

387
00:28:23,247 --> 00:28:30,935
And it applies across the whole of any material in the EU, essentially sets up a pyramid of,

388
00:28:31,679 --> 00:28:39,052
reduce use in the first place, but reuse, recycle, and dispose is actually the very last option.

389
00:28:39,528 --> 00:28:43,127
So in terms of decommissioning, if we look at oil and gas as the parallel,

390
00:28:44,623 --> 00:28:50,863
staggeringly, something like about 90% of an offshore oil and gas platform will be recycled.

391
00:28:51,643 --> 00:28:54,073
It takes a lot of time and effort to break all these materials down,

392
00:28:54,073 --> 00:28:56,367
and there are economics involved, etc., but they do do it.

393
00:28:56,797 --> 00:28:59,343
So when you think of the size of these things, that's really not very much stuff

394
00:28:59,343 --> 00:29:00,391
that's going into the ground.

395
00:29:01,986 --> 00:29:08,946
Most turbine blades, when they are recycled, get up to about 80% to 90% already.

396
00:29:09,966 --> 00:29:14,153
Solar panels, the same, depending on whether they are thin film or silicon.

397
00:29:14,734 --> 00:29:20,526
But they are recyclable. The problem with it is it's cheaper to buy a new one

398
00:29:20,526 --> 00:29:21,916
and throw the old one in the ground.

399
00:29:21,916 --> 00:29:25,416
And that is not necessarily limited to renewable technology.

400
00:29:25,416 --> 00:29:28,036
I think that's true of any consumer product. Or most things these days.

401
00:29:28,036 --> 00:29:31,606
Exactly. So it is generally, the renewables industry, I think,

402
00:29:31,606 --> 00:29:37,326
is part of that wider, certainly the EU efforts to steer people away from that,

403
00:29:37,326 --> 00:29:38,870
to steer the world away from that.

404
00:29:39,946 --> 00:29:44,030
So there will be a period, I think, when we are dealing with the old technologies,

405
00:29:44,350 --> 00:29:50,230
the older blades, for example, particularly in terms of what we do with them.

406
00:29:50,619 --> 00:29:53,336
But then we'll get over that hump, and I think in years to come we'll be dealing

407
00:29:53,336 --> 00:29:55,658
with those which can be readily recycled.

408
00:29:56,198 --> 00:29:58,066
So we've mentioned the EU directive

409
00:29:58,066 --> 00:30:00,325
a lot. There are probably people thinking, but we're not in the EU.

410
00:30:00,836 --> 00:30:07,686
We aren't. But we haven't yet replaced all the laws. So the EU Waste Directive

411
00:30:07,686 --> 00:30:13,102
of 2008, I believe, is still current on our books in the UK, on our legislation.

412
00:30:13,398 --> 00:30:18,126
There is a newer one they passed in 2025, which Reduce, Reuse,

413
00:30:18,126 --> 00:30:20,770
Recycle is now labelled something else, but the concept is the same.

414
00:30:21,084 --> 00:30:27,555
That doesn't apply to us. But in general, we are still very much in sync with the rest of the EU.

415
00:30:28,153 --> 00:30:31,160
And given that most of the developers, certainly for offshore wind,

416
00:30:31,549 --> 00:30:36,236
are European-based, I think we can expect to see those new technologies being

417
00:30:36,236 --> 00:30:39,658
used in British waters. Yeah.

418
00:30:40,326 --> 00:30:45,022
One thing that's fascinating about this is the engagement that there already is from insurers.

419
00:30:45,353 --> 00:30:48,203
Because I suppose one way to look at it would be to say, well,

420
00:30:48,720 --> 00:30:51,526
we're going to come on to talk about annual renewal processes and that sort of thing.

421
00:30:53,259 --> 00:30:56,810
In one respect, if the insurance market is seen as being reactive to the client,

422
00:30:56,810 --> 00:31:01,130
purely reactive to the client need, then why are we considering decommissioning

423
00:31:01,130 --> 00:31:03,810
now when that's something, it's a future, it's a tomorrow problem,

424
00:31:03,810 --> 00:31:06,222
save for the claims examples you mentioned, Myles.

425
00:31:06,599 --> 00:31:09,150
But I think it's really interesting that the amount of engagement there is now

426
00:31:09,150 --> 00:31:13,020
from the industry about decommissioning and the fact that we're talking about

427
00:31:13,020 --> 00:31:15,127
it, I think is a helpful perspective.

428
00:31:16,712 --> 00:31:19,500
Yeah, absolutely. You mentioned new products, etc.

429
00:31:19,790 --> 00:31:23,260
Etc decommissioning is something obviously close to my heart having spent a

430
00:31:23,260 --> 00:31:28,410
bit of time looking at it but um i had mentioned the reverse well car policies etc,

431
00:31:29,121 --> 00:31:32,420
they are needed there is certainly for offshore wind of which we have a lot

432
00:31:32,420 --> 00:31:38,200
in the uk there is a requirement to remove from the seabed the continental shelf anything you put in,

433
00:31:38,914 --> 00:31:45,822
um we are not yet at a full uh fully developed industry focusing specifically on,

434
00:31:47,010 --> 00:31:50,275
wind technology, we are for offshore oil and gas.

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So a lot of the technologies exist already and methods and approaches,

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00:31:55,199 --> 00:31:56,254
but they will need adapting.

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It's easy to cut monopiles and platform legs using waterjet cutting.

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Slightly harder to do that same concept, but slightly harder with an offshore

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wind monopile because of the size.

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But it just requires somebody to have an economy of scale where they'll develop it.

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So there is going to be, in time, a lot of work that needs doing.

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Whether we may even repower and put bigger turbines on some of these foundations

443
00:32:22,929 --> 00:32:24,998
possibly, but a lot of them I think will have to come out.

444
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We don't have a product for it. In the oil and gas world, it's less pressing,

445
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because there is more money available within the oil and gas companies to pay

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00:32:34,849 --> 00:32:38,399
for this, and they anticipate it. They put the money aside, there's tax breaks, etc.

447
00:32:40,091 --> 00:32:43,099
The economics of offshore wind, I am told repeatedly by clients,

448
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and that's not to belittle it.

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I do know it's there. The economics are far more narrow, tighter.

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So I don't know if they are as able to make these provisions as the oil and

451
00:32:56,289 --> 00:33:00,584
gas world does. So in which case, there may be an appetite for an insurance product.

452
00:33:00,996 --> 00:33:04,955
Because the one thing about decommissioning is when you can cost it,

453
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you can plan it, you can schedule everything, like a construction project,

454
00:33:08,769 --> 00:33:10,777
but it has more that can go wrong.

455
00:33:11,236 --> 00:33:16,849
If after 25 30 years the particular component you are looking at to remove,

456
00:33:17,319 --> 00:33:20,249
isn't in the condition you thought it was going to be because no one's looked

457
00:33:20,249 --> 00:33:23,679
at it for 25 or 30 years you are in a fundamentally different ballgame,

458
00:33:24,138 --> 00:33:27,919
there are classic examples again oil and gas of companies that have struggled

459
00:33:27,919 --> 00:33:29,275
and heaved away at casings,

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00:33:29,722 --> 00:33:32,809
in oil wells that were just nowhere near the condition they thought they would

461
00:33:32,809 --> 00:33:36,789
be in and the cost goes up i mean this is aside from dropping things and having

462
00:33:36,789 --> 00:33:39,672
to pick things up and weather and all of these other things,

463
00:33:40,119 --> 00:33:43,126
the actual state of the technology, it can be a fundamental difference.

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So I think in an industry that is looking at tighter margins,

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there may well be an appetite to look at.

466
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How whether they can protect against that with insurance. This is a very good

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point that Miles has just raised, and I'd like to just emphasize on this.

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The project life cycle of a renewables project versus an oil and gas,

469
00:34:03,174 --> 00:34:06,183
traditional oil and gas project, what Miles and I come from that background,

470
00:34:06,822 --> 00:34:11,444
is very different. In the renewables world, we're talking about 25 to 30 years for wind and solar.

471
00:34:12,575 --> 00:34:18,374
In the oil and gas world, much higher. so very different life cycles very different

472
00:34:18,374 --> 00:34:21,891
problems which is why we're talking about this now because the first wind farms

473
00:34:22,198 --> 00:34:25,815
that were built in the 90s are now approaching their end of life,

474
00:34:27,684 --> 00:34:32,144
thank you for listening to risk matters the dwf insurance podcast we hope you

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00:34:32,144 --> 00:34:34,813
join us again soon for future podcasts in our series.
Episode 10 - Part two
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Welcome to Risk Matters, the insurance podcast brought to you by DWF and your

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global guide to the latest trends and issues in the insurance and reinsurance industry.

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Join us as we explore topical issues, emerging technologies and the innovative

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strategies that are shaping the global future of insurance.

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I think that brings us neatly on to then the investment value chain and where

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insurers fit within that.

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Because it seems that often, now obviously being a lawyer working on renewables

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insurance claims means that we see things at the end of the claim circumstance.

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But it seems that there is this entire investment chain that occurs even before

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the underwriting has taken place.

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I'm curious to know where insurers fit within that chain and should they essentially,

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appear at a much earlier stage.

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We are infamously the forgotten stepchild in the value chain, as I like to say.

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But the way, well, it'll be easy, I think if I can explain for our listeners,

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and frankly, you know this as well, what is this value chain that we're talking about, right?

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So whenever there is a need for a new project or there is a demand for a new

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renewables investment coming in from somewhere,

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you have financiers, lenders, private equity rushing and contacting the government,

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the state to say, okay, fine, there's an opportunity here.

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Contractors that come in, there are energy companies that get together,

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and they all speak to each other without insurers being present.

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And so what happens is you have the lenders in one room, you have the lenders'

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advisors, you have the lenders' insurance advisors, you have the regulators.

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And the state, all in one room deciding where they want to put their money and,

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where can the state help to provide incentives for this development to take

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place because this is directly linked to jobs.

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This is directly linked to buying raw materials from the country or contacting

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local contractors. So in net-net, there is a country state level benefit.

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By the time the front-end engineering design, which we also called feed,

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is completed and all sorts of project consultancy work is undertaken,

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the lenders have a good idea of how much they should be lending.

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Majority of these projects are lent on a syndication basis, exactly the same

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way we work in Lloyd's or in the subscription market where we share the risks

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between different insurance companies. Banks do the same.

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But they're designed. They know how much they want to lend. They know exactly

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what breaks they're going to get from the state.

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But they have one condition, that everything should be backed by insurance.

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And you're not in the room at that stage. And we're not in the room at that stage.

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So by the time that they have decided all of this, this then comes to what we

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call a project financial close.

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Once a project is financially closed or is closing, we are then asked or invited

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to participate in the tender stages of a new build construction.

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I'm talking about construction here because that's where things get focused.

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We are then involved and invited to say, okay, this is what the project's going

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to look like. This is the design.

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This is who is funding it. This is the management structure, et cetera, et cetera.

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And you just need to insure it.

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More often than not, and I'm speaking on behalf of the market over here,

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we don't have much room to maneuver because the lenders have already listed

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their list of conditions.

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And so the insurance then has to comply with the lender's requirements.

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And we often see that in lender's clauses. Absolutely. Dependent to policies.

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Absolutely. You would see that on your side in the legal world,

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that that's where things start getting very stressed.

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And so this is why we don't have a fixed product. Our products are very bespoke,

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depending on what project we are looking at, which country we're looking at.

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And we try to make them more flexible depending on the situation.

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So in this value chain, we are the last component. And if you were to picture

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building a Lego castle, we would be the last block that completes the Lego castle.

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The flag. Exactly. We'd be the flag. We'd be the flag. So you can take that as a sign of pride.

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But at the same time, I think the conversation can be much more productive if

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we're involved in earlier stages because we would be able to not only provide

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better insurance solutions, maybe even cost benefits,

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to the lenders or to the insured interest parties, but we would be able to design

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the product catering to their needs rather than playing catch-up.

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Because right now we are playing catch-up to every single major infrastructure

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project that hits our desk after all parties have spoken.

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I think I was really curious from a legal, pure wording, black letter, what the wording says.

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And often I think it seems to me that.

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You'd need to, you would improve the product if you understood what the bargain needed to be.

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100%. That's a classic law school lesson is, what is the bargain your parties are trying to achieve?

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100%. That seems to be quite a fundamental point. I certainly,

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before being more involved in renewables claims, I hadn't appreciated the late

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stage at which insurers were involved in that process. This is very, very true.

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My wife works in leverage finance for a big investment bank.

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And more often than not, her team lends to private equities who are looking

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to acquire different businesses.

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And every time they are looking to issue the lending requirements,

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insurance is right at the end of the section, which they don't really pay much attention to.

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Because that's part of the lender's insurance consultants to sort out.

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And so I totally agree with you.

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If we were part of that discussion, if we were in the room, then the product

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can be way more tailored to the specific needs. And in fact,

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we might even come up with some innovative solutions for unidentified risks.

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And what would that look like, hypothetically? Would that obviously have your

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underwriter, Miles, you're a claims professional. How does that...

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Would it be you? Are there others in insurance companies that would be more

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appropriate to be involved in those early discussions?

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We at Allianz have ARC, Allianz Risk Consulting, our colleagues who do a very

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good job of talking to insureds about the engineering behind their projects

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to understand both the construction and operational stages.

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And that helps I think I had to to shape the the cover that we offer and informs that conversation with,

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with the uh with the broker and the client I know other organizations have engineers

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involved doing the same thing as well um the question is I suppose getting back

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to our heads earlier point at what stage,

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does that engagement happen yes you know so we we are doing something to try

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and close that loop and as claims,

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we are promoting, I'm promoting a dialogue between ARC and the claims team because

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things do go wrong so we need to close that knowledge loop really between what

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they see at the front end and what we see at our end,

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so we can all be better informed.

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So there's certainly a lot there but I think there's a question about how,

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how engaged or when, rather, we are engaged. I think I understand that clients

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don't want us in at the very beginning, but perhaps there's something to be

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said, Arhat, for that happening sooner.

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100%. And Miles, like you, the two colleagues of ours I'd like to talk about,

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because I've been in the room with them during very early stages of a project lifecycle.

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Gordon Lee, who heads up our ARC, Allianz Risk Consulting Natural Resources

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Division, and Dr. Wei, who is part of that division, but is a wind expert.

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And I've seen them in the room talking about things that could go wrong in the

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renewables world with clients who have not even thought about these particular risks.

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And they have acknowledged that those sessions help them make different investment

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decisions in the future.

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And now these were sheer chance that we had those sessions.

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And I've seen the value that they created, but it doesn't need to be left on chance.

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We can build this as part of the value chain. We can build this as part of,

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okay, like Miles said, we don't probably need to be involved when they're doing

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the front-end engineering design, but somewhere in the middle.

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If we are involved before financial close,

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then we can identify, for example, is there a need for alternative risk products?

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Is there a need for sustainability?

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We have a very, very well-known market-leading sustainability team.

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Two members who have contributed a lot to some of our solutions.

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One is Funke and then is Elena Biasi.

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They both specialize in coming up with innovative solutions for sustainable clients.

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Yeah. So why can't we have people like that in the room when we are in the middle

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or just before financial close so as to identify, right, maybe we need to come up with a product.

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That is a little bit more akin to the bespoke need of the client.

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I know there's certainly a lot of engagement from risk engineers in London Market

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Association groups and the like.

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And it seems to me that the level of experience and knowledge and expertise is outstanding.

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And how that could not assist in terms of developing a new product or being

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very close to clients seeking to develop these sort of projects could not be

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anything but positive, I think. Absolutely. Absolutely.

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Absolutely. That brings us on to, we've seen some industry press recently,

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specifically in relation to renewables, about challenges that,

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perceived challenges that the annual renewal process provides to cutting edge

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renewables or other projects.

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I'm just quite curious, both of you being very familiar with and have always

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worked with annual renewals, seems to me there are benefits to that process.

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And I'm curious to get your views on that as to whether that is something that

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does hold back the development of cutting-edge technology in renewables and

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in other energy sectors.

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I'll take it from an underwriting perspective, what we do.

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You'll have to split it, and I'll try and split it for the audience, between clients.

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When we're talking about major clients,

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the big European energy clients like ONG, for example, Libidrola, for example,

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most of these clients have global programs that span across countries,

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hundreds and billions of dollars of assets in there, all publicly listed companies,

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so the information is available online.

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It is very cumbersome to renew those programs on a yearly basis.

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That is a totally known fact. And what the market, what the insurance market

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does, and we're part of that as well, we provide what is called a long-term agreement.

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That is in shortened form, an LTA.

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So an LTA, what it does is it provides multi-year cover so long as certain conditions are met.

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And that provides clients with certainty that they have multi-year coverage.

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That coverage can go up to 24 months, sometimes 36 months.

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We're now seeing some clients looking at five-year LTAs as well.

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Because again, if you've got a product, if you've got assets that are homogenous

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to a certain degree, then do we really need to look at it on a yearly basis? No.

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So provided things are constant to a certain degree, and those parameters are

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defined in each of those contracts individually,

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there is a very, very good benefit in having these long-term agreements in place.

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So that's where I totally agree with you.

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When it comes to projects that are technologically complex, when we're talking

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about, let's move away from the renewables world and go into conventional power.

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When we're talking about highly complex gas turbines, all right,

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that are generating 600 megawatts of power through one machine,

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and these machines have millions of components on them.

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There is a very good benefit in reviewing those contracts year on year because

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the nature of the machine is changing, right?

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We're dealing with something that is way beyond, you know, some of them are

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as big as airplanes, if you really want to look at them.

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So there is benefit in looking at those risks on an annual basis and the technological

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complexities that it provides.

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I don't think that looking at it on an annual basis would be cumbersome to technological innovation.

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Because the only thing that we are doing is ensuring the fact that these risks

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get the proper coverage so that at the end of the day, all of us want to be in a situation when,

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a loss happens, the client is served 100% because that's what we're selling. Yeah.

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But do you think that applies to cutting-edge technology like modular nuclear,

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so SMRs, small modular reactors, and the like?

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So do you think that sort of approach, at least in the early stages,

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that annual renewal process should not in itself be something that holds up

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the development of those projects, those products? No, absolutely.

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You're right. I mean, it should not...

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It's a fascinating topic, right? The nuclear world. Now, the first SMR,

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there are two currently that are being built globally. One is in Canada.

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There's one over here in the UK. Actually, there are two in the UK.

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There's one in the US as well. We all know that the UK one, which has been done

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by Rolls-Royce as they are leading this technology, they confirmed that that's

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not going to be in operation until 2032.

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Too. Whereas the one in Canada that's been done by Ontario Power Generation,

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they claim that between 2028 and 2029, that will become operational.

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So we will have to see when those actually come to the market,

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how the policies respond.

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My best guess is that when they do become operational, those risks will be managed

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by the nuclear pools because of the fission nature.

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Things get very, very colorful when we talk about fusion, because there is a

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massive, massive discussion going on in the market right now with the extreme

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power needs of data centers, energy security.

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Fusion is becoming more and more a hot topic.

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And if you allow me two minutes to just explain what is the difference between fusion and fission.

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Fission, the nuclear process, which is also the same thing that happens in atomic

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bombs, is when you have two atoms, deuterium and tritium, coming together and producing energy.

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This is layman speak, very, very common knowledge. So apologies if I'm butchering

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the science here. Miles will pick you up.

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Miles is going to pick me up on this. It would take too long.

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And that's fission that's been proven that works currently in nuclear power,

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right? So all the power plants that you see globally, the nuclear ones,

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they operate on fission.

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Fusion, which is the process that takes place in the sun, that's when you have,

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the same atoms, deuterium and tritium, moving away from each other.

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And the energy that they generate is exactly the same process that takes place,

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in the sun. Why is fusion interesting?

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Because the amount of fuel that you would need to generate electricity from

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fusion is mind-boggling. And if I can illustrate that with an example. So...

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Most of our listeners, if you've got kids in the UK, you would be familiar with

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Calpol as the medication, right?

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So let's use Calpol as an example. Are the paracetamol-based products?

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Are the paracetamol-based products as well, yeah.

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So we'll use Calpol as an example. Now, everybody knows about the purple stick, right?

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That purple stick, when you have a toddler, you probably give around 2.5 ml.

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In fusion, you need one ml of deuterium to produce enough power to power 50 households in the UK.

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That's how much fuel you need. Just put that into perspective.

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It is a rabbit hole that goes so deep that even Morpheus would struggle to explain.

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But that is fascinating. Because we're talking about energy that can be,

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produced at exponential levels and power that can be produced at exponential

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levels without requiring much fuel or resources and clean, in a clean manner.

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So, again, insurance is a far-off thought, but it is something that is now being

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asked in the market and what do we need to do.

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But it is difficult to say that annual projects or annual policies will hamper

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this innovation because these products are not there in the market yet.

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The experience that we have from the current products in the market shows that,

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we don't always have to issue annual policies. There are benefits to doing that, like we've discussed.

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But we do have long-term solutions.

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But where do you even, for something completely brand new for that,

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but I think also AMRs, SMRs as well, given that they are based on existing nuclear

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technologies, where do you even begin to...

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Investigate whether we can, as Allianz or whichever company you work for,

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how do you begin to investigate this is a product we can, this is something we can get behind?

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Are you talking to Miles about similar claim scenarios you might see in other industries?

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How do you, I'm just quite curious to know, how do you go from zero to here's

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an insurance policy that we can provide to you to.

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Cover you for the risks that your finance parties, your governmental regulatory requirements need?

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How do you start that? We have no clue.

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No, jokes aside, I think that you're absolutely right. What we do.

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We can use SMR, AMR, and Fusion as an example, because these are the hot topics right now.

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What have we done? We have engaged with a number of stakeholders.

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Mal's sitting here in the room claims teams.

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We've engaged with regulators. We've engaged not only with financial regulators,

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but also energy regulators to try and understand what is this technology and

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what are the inherent hazards and risks that it possesses.

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Because again, going back to the Top Gun quote, we want to be taking these risks

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on our balance sheet, and we need to be able to pay for them.

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So we engage with all these stakeholders at a very, very advanced level.

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Across different teams. Then we also engage with risk engineering.

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Our biggest asset that we like to claim in Allianz is our risk engineering knowledge and expertise.

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We have 55 risk engineers globally in Allianz Risk Consulting,

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each of them focusing on various products out there and various components of an energy lifecycle.

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For example, we've got two gentlemen in the ARC world who are focused just on cabling.

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So they go on in a minute detail on each of the components within the energy

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world. There's a stakeholder you've missed there, which is lawyers.

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Yes, I have missed lawyers.

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And the reason, to bring Miles in on this, because the reason I raise that is

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because when we're talking about crossover and learning.

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From things we may have done in the past or certainly utilizing knowledge that

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may already exist in the market,

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I was curious to see that with nuclear liability regimes in particular,

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it remains to be seen in the UK if we will follow a similar approach to liability

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regimes that there is in more traditional nuclear for SMRs.

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There's a government consultation that has recently closed on that.

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But what's curious is the calculation for the limits of liability cap for any

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operator is based on SDRs.

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And I thought, I remember using SDRs before, and of course that is something

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that colleagues in the maritime space are very, very familiar using in terms

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of third-party liability, working out the ultimate liability for a ship if there's

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a pollution event, and so on.

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So I thought it was striking that there is, even in those scenarios,

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being comfortable with using terms like that, there already exists in the marketplace,

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in a place you would not normally think to link, existing knowledge.

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I don't know if there's any Miles you found any other crossovers Coming from

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a marine background Into now focusing more on the energy side Well Benny Is

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the answer I think ultimately As I said earlier the.

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The energy industry, or insurance market rather, was focused on offshore,

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and that came out of the marine industry.

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I'm tempted to use a quote of my own, and I think it was Muddy Waters,

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that the Blues had a baby, and they called it rock and roll.

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There we are. There we are.

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So, yes, the energy market, certainly the offshore energy market,

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grew out of marine insurance.

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That thinking in the marine world shaped the very policies that were used for offshore energy.

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Um they were seen as marine policies until uh essentially the mar 91 form was

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done away within the market reform etc,

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so there became the concept of a,

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an energy policy i don't know if that stands up legally but that's certainly

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what people hold in their heads in the market so that then we now move on to renewables,

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we have wordings that are being shaped for renewables but they are wordings

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that inherit the offshore energy concepts.

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So they will have many of those focuses or features.

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One of the areas that I've been very active in at the moment is floating offshore wind.

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I am writing or have written a wording for floating offshore wind,

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which is being considered by the market, which deals with that very point.

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So we have a wind turbine.

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But it is floating. What happens if it slips its moorings?

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The moorings break, rather than, to use a more precise term,

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or something, a vessel collides with it when that's happened.

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We are very much into the maritime arena there.

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And knowing how we deal with that from the marine world has allowed me to basically

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come up with the clauses that are required for that particular wording.

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There are plenty of other examples.

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Things like ctl which is an age-old maritime concept marine law concept and

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marine insurance concept,

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that exists in onshore policies as well so understanding exactly how that applies

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in the ins and outs and the the problems around insured value and things like

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that that feed into that issue pop up even now in in something that's,

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nowhere near the sea so i think it turns out there's really only you know a

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number of ways that one can go about insuring things anyway

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You often reach those solutions that already existed before if they aren't inherently

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organically included anyway.

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So I think knowledge of other insurance classes is very helpful when looking

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at new classes in particular because, you know, why reinvent the wheel is the

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essential concept, I think. Okay, thank you.

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I'm keen also to get your views on any particularly interesting jurisdictional

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developments or any jurisdictions that are ones to watch for the future,

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in particular with renewables.

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I had. Could I start with you on that one? Sure. From a, I think the ones that

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we, it's a very, very wide net, right? If you were to focus on every country

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in the world, and I think there's so many interesting opportunities.

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The audience might not necessarily be.

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The ones that I'm very keen on, and I think the audience will find interesting,

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is we'll start with Turkey. Yeah.

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So Turkey has popped up on the renewable scene very, very aggressively.

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Up until, say, 10 years ago, Turkey was very famous for being one of the biggest

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coal-producing power countries in the world.

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Today, Turkey is the fifth biggest producer of renewable energy in Europe,

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11th globally, across all renewable energy spectra.

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In fact, they are the biggest manufacturer of solar PV panels that are sold

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in Europe, particularly in Eastern Europe.

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So much so that they are, from my knowledge, the only country or the only country's

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solar panels that the insurance market is willing to provide performance guarantee

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insurance on. Interesting. Okay. It is fascinating.

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It is an area that I've been to Istanbul, myself last year to meet with our

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colleagues there and the rest of the market, and I was blown away by how far

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ahead they've come and the plans they've got for renewable energy.

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So they've embraced it wholly.

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You wouldn't associate that. No, that's not sort of out there as a known fact. It definitely doesn't.

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The second one, which is another outlier, is Pakistan.

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A lot of listeners would know, Pakistan is a country in South Asia with 250

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million people and is a growing country, right, with a very big young population.

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The fun fact is that Pakistan is the fifth largest user and purchaser of solar PV panels in the world.

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And particularly the ones that are coming out from China. China's biggest customers of.

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Solar PV panels, number three is Pakistan.

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So they have powered their economies completely based on renewables and are

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now heading in the retail solar world because Pakistan has always suffered from,

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electrical instability due to shortage of power being produced,

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and renewables is solving that issue.

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So that's another one that users should be very, very optimistic about.

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And the third one is one that I recently visited, was the Nordic countries.

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And in the Nordic countries, the most interesting area that I've found out was

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battery energy storage.

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In from 2020 to 2025, the amount of battery energy storage installations that

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have been installed onto the grid in the Nordic countries and has grown by seven times, x7.

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That's the kind of growth you've not seen anywhere, particularly on Bess.

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And the primary reason for that is because they're producing way more electricity

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than they need. They're not that populated. What do you do with all of that.

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You store it for the times when you will have volatility in the grid systems.

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So these are three parts of the world, because we always talk about the immense

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opportunity that's coming out of the US, the immense opportunity that's coming

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to China or other parts of the world.

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But I just wanted to shed some light on these three countries. That's very helpful.

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Interesting, you mentioned the US there, and I wonder, miles offshore wind in

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the US obviously it's facing some difficulties at the moment is there anything

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in your view any promising developments on the horizon,

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It is a challenging environment, and I would say that offshore wind is being

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constructed despite that challenging

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environment. We have some very large projects that are underway.

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The political landscape is what it is. Governments have different views on different things.

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So we are where we are for the moment. I think certainly looking ahead or just

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purely from what could be an interesting development, California is very keen on offshore wind,

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floating offshore wind, because the coastline falls away quite dramatically.

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So they have some leases available.

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I think they are at the moment, for want of a better phrase,

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let's just say suspended or on ice or whatever.

384
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But they are certainly identified and available.

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That would be an interesting development because i think the scale that is possible

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and the energy requirements of california are exactly what floating offshore

387
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wind needs to really get going yeah we know it works we have we've been way beyond

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pilot schemes and the rest of it we have another one in japan that's started up,

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um the resource is greater offshore in the where we require floating wind and

390
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i think it really it just requires a little push to get past the tipping point,

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and I'm quite excited or interested in California because I think the scale

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of it and the demand there would be,

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would be just that push. So that's one to watch, I think.

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And there are further developments or areas available in North America around

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New England and into Canada, around the East Coast, Newfoundland, that sort of thing.

396
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And I think also there's other exciting parts of the world for renewables.

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South Africa is the big question. Now, the grid in South Africa,

398
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unfortunately, is perhaps struggling. They're struggling with conventional power.

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The problem being that also the age-old problem for renewables is that they

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are in the renewable sources or the sources of energy are in remote areas.

401
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You need a long transmission network to get them to the end user.

402
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Conventional power networks are engineered in the exact opposite way because,

403
00:31:01,067 --> 00:31:05,543
the end user is a long way from a centralised power station in coal or gas.

404
00:31:05,926 --> 00:31:12,409
In the old world so i think south africa has a tremendous potential for wind solar um,

405
00:31:13,200 --> 00:31:16,680
unfortunately there isn't the grid there and the expense of developing that

406
00:31:16,680 --> 00:31:21,913
is a major challenge but that's an interesting one australia is is coming on strong um.

407
00:31:23,510 --> 00:31:26,979
Not so much offshore wind mainly solar at the moment um it is,

408
00:31:27,624 --> 00:31:32,630
uh the ideal location has a lot of solar resource and not many people wanting

409
00:31:32,630 --> 00:31:37,030
that space yeah so but then that gets us back into the remote location of course

410
00:31:37,030 --> 00:31:39,590
the issue we spoke over earlier so I think,

411
00:31:40,710 --> 00:31:44,050
in a sort of anecdotal way I say to people that just about everybody that we're

412
00:31:44,050 --> 00:31:47,337
in the world has some form of renewable resource,

413
00:31:48,610 --> 00:31:52,250
so there are very few places that are completely bereft yeah I think and with

414
00:31:52,250 --> 00:31:56,530
that in mind we've touched on we haven't labored the point about about political

415
00:31:56,870 --> 00:31:58,535
situation in certain jurisdictions and.

416
00:32:00,358 --> 00:32:05,305
If you were to speak personally, would you, and you would have one decision

417
00:32:05,305 --> 00:32:08,468
that you could make, Miles, if I could start with you, please.

418
00:32:09,525 --> 00:32:13,975
One decision, if you were Prime Minister for the day, we'll keep it to energy

419
00:32:13,975 --> 00:32:14,855
policy, if you don't mind.

420
00:32:14,855 --> 00:32:19,975
Yes, of course. But what practically do you think, based on your years of experience,

421
00:32:19,975 --> 00:32:25,034
what do you think would be beneficial to, a beneficial change to make?

422
00:32:25,231 --> 00:32:29,428
We have a very good platform for renewable energy.

423
00:32:30,107 --> 00:32:34,978
Offshore wind plenty of transferable skills i think i would push in that direction

424
00:32:35,384 --> 00:32:41,035
there has been a recent report um from the cbi yep they commissioned um and

425
00:32:41,035 --> 00:32:44,144
that talks about uh the offshore wind industry um,

426
00:32:44,685 --> 00:32:51,191
if you include supply chains related businesses um it would create 1.1 million jobs,

427
00:32:52,325 --> 00:32:58,563
1.5 billion in gross value added as a measure of GDP.

428
00:32:58,912 --> 00:33:03,545
Now, that's 4% of our UK economic output. I think those figures,

429
00:33:04,285 --> 00:33:07,185
all reports say different things, but let's take that one as an example.

430
00:33:07,665 --> 00:33:13,488
And let's say the CBI are a fairly neutral organization. So it is they who are presenting this.

431
00:33:14,121 --> 00:33:17,226
I think those figures, that's quite powerful for me. Thank you.

432
00:33:17,958 --> 00:33:22,185
Ahad? Well, thank you, Franco, for allowing me to plug in my election campaign.

433
00:33:26,425 --> 00:33:29,945
But no, it's a very, very good point. And Miles, thank you for sharing that

434
00:33:29,945 --> 00:33:32,190
because this is coming up a lot now.

435
00:33:33,325 --> 00:33:38,035
And I guess the major issue we've got is that people don't understand the way

436
00:33:38,035 --> 00:33:42,805
energy works. So I'd go slightly different on this on my side because Miles

437
00:33:42,805 --> 00:33:44,590
has done a very good job in covering that aspect.

438
00:33:45,588 --> 00:33:50,235
For me energy is very very much linked or energy policy is very much linked

439
00:33:50,235 --> 00:33:57,251
to the future and the current of any country or the future um aspects economic aspects of any country.

440
00:33:58,603 --> 00:34:04,990
I would like to design a policy, an energy policy, that would benefit the youth

441
00:34:04,990 --> 00:34:07,914
group, which is the 16 to 28-year-old group,

442
00:34:08,907 --> 00:34:14,811
that can further contribute in a meaningful way to the country by lowering the

443
00:34:14,927 --> 00:34:18,461
energy cost burden that they are currently facing in today's world.

444
00:34:18,738 --> 00:34:25,025
We have seen this going on from Russia, Ukraine back in 2022, all the way up until now.

445
00:34:25,548 --> 00:34:30,240
Are we, it's particularly the youth, people who can afford to write this crisis

446
00:34:30,240 --> 00:34:34,087
out are continuing to do so, but there's a big question mark on how long.

447
00:34:34,336 --> 00:34:38,390
However, the youth can't afford to do so. And there's only, we're facing an

448
00:34:38,390 --> 00:34:44,751
inflection point right now where things are looking very, very gloomy for this age group.

449
00:34:45,482 --> 00:34:50,341
And if you want a viable future, a viable economic future for your country,

450
00:34:50,683 --> 00:34:54,190
you need to be able to support this age group, which is going to take you into

451
00:34:54,190 --> 00:34:58,108
the next AI generation or whichever way we're headed,

452
00:34:59,147 --> 00:35:04,476
I would focus on an energy policy that caters to this, brings down that cost

453
00:35:04,702 --> 00:35:06,299
that the youth is facing.

454
00:35:08,109 --> 00:35:11,359
That is the primary, I see that as the primary concern. Well,

455
00:35:11,359 --> 00:35:13,729
thank you very much, Ahad and Miles, for your insights today.

456
00:35:13,729 --> 00:35:17,949
And thank you to our listeners for your attention. So looking ahead to the next

457
00:35:17,949 --> 00:35:21,013
two years, clearly innovation and new remedies.

458
00:35:21,402 --> 00:35:25,689
But it seems let's not forget to utilize the experience and know-how that we've

459
00:35:25,689 --> 00:35:27,433
already built up in the industry.

460
00:35:27,880 --> 00:35:31,863
And also let's not underestimate the beauty of referencing a hard copy book.

461
00:35:32,275 --> 00:35:34,666
And with that, thank you very much for listening. Thank you, Ahad.

462
00:35:35,195 --> 00:35:39,289
Thank you, Franco and Myles. I'd just like to close off with the quote from

463
00:35:39,289 --> 00:35:45,185
the father of modern management and Peter Drucker, who says that the only way,

464
00:35:45,766 --> 00:35:48,157
to predict the future is to create it.

465
00:35:49,939 --> 00:35:54,990
Thank you, Myles. Thank you very much. I think I shall end by saying, hey, hey.

466
00:35:56,218 --> 00:35:59,922
Thank you for listening to Risk Matters, the DWF insurance podcast.

467
00:36:00,346 --> 00:36:03,387
We hope you join us again soon for future podcasts in our series.